Welcome to EagleBet’s betting guide for Thursday’s World Cup qualifiers. Our two main tips are below, but here we give you a couple of additional sexy little international bets to consider.
Firstly, we would consider betting on Sweden to win away in Georgia (the Georgians have lost four of their last five) at World Cup Qualifier odds of 1.48.
Secondly, and this is more exciting, we wonder about betting on the Republic of Ireland v Portugal. OK, listen before you judge. The Irish only lost the away tie 2-1 and are a solid side, yet Ireland are at World Cup Qualifying odds of 11 to win at home, 5.00 the draw. Portugal are at odds of just 1.36 the win. Sure, Portugal have been one of the great joys of European football and have Ronaldo. But are those odds a true reflection?
You can bet on Ireland with a handicap of +3 at odds of 1.3, which seems decent value. And while this isn’t an official EagleBet tip, we keep looking at World Cup qualifier odds of 8.4 on the Republic of Ireland draw no bet.
World Cup Qualifiers – Germany v Liechtenstein
We find some of these international match-ups irritating as they can be more massacre than sport with the big country treating them as little more than friendlies or glorified training sessions.
Inevitably there is no margin in it for the bettor to bet on Germany to win (the odds are 1.02) in case you are interested. The draw is 70 while the tax haven is at 300 to win!
So is there any betting value in this match at all?
Well, the bookies clearly see this as a turkey-shoot and given the relative size of the countries and their different footballing records that is understandable.
Yet Germany only won the away leg 2-0 and Liechtenstein have avoided telephone number defeats lately apart from a 7-0 loss in Switzerland back in June. That said, a 4-0 loss seems relatively normal although they managed a draw in Armenia and a respectable 2-0 in Romania.
With Germany already qualified, how much will they put into this match? Particularly given that five German players have been ordered to isolate due to covid, causing training to be cancelled (more players could also test positive).
Bild reports that four of the players are Jamal Musiala, Serge Gnabry, Joshua Kimmich, and Karim Adeyemi following Niklas Süle’s positive test result.
So we are tempted by under 5.5 goals for Germany at international footballing odds of 2.00. So even if Germany won 5-0 you would still win the bet.
It’s annoying about Gnabry as we were going to bet him each way to be a goal scorer. Now we are going to wait to see the line up before betting on a particular goal scorer, though of course opposition gives even a fairly light scorer the chance to get among the goals.
Home win but no value
EagleBet tip: under 5.5 goals for Germany at international footballing odds of 2.00
World Cup Qualifiers -Australia v Saudi Arabia
This is the other World Cup qualifier on Thursday we have looked into as a betting opportunity.
This is a first match on home soil for the Socceroos for two years.
Saudi have won their last nine, including wins over China and Japan.
Australia had been dominant themselves prior to losing to Japan last time out, which ended an 11 match winning run.
Saudi have won all five of their world cup qualifiers to date, conceding just three goals.
A win for Australia would give them leadership of the group and almost guarantee them qualification to their fifth World Cup in a row.
Australia’s FIFA World Ranking is 41; Saudi Arabia’s 67.
Australia have played Saudi 8 times with five victories and two draws.
The Aussies have a couple of attacking players absent; the Green Falcon are without their regular goalie.
Do keep in mind that 20 of the Australian squad is oversees, so European based players such as Blackpool’s Kenny Dougall face a hell of a journey.
We cannot be over-confident as to be very honest with you, these are not teams we study too carefully, especially Saudi.
But we do wonder about how the bookies have priced this, and therefore whether there is an edge for you the punter.
All we have read suggests these two are fairly evenly matched, yet Australia are 1.73 home win, Saudi 6.00 for the away. A draw is 3.6.
Australia are probably narrow favourites due mainly to home advantage, but the value bet is elsewhere.
EagleBet tip: draw no bet Saudi at odds of 4.4 has to be tempting. If you want to be cautious you could bet Saudi +2 at 1.4
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